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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Finland

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Aug 13, 2026
Length 13 Pages
SKU # OFE21523643

Description

Key changes: We’ve increased our 2026 GDP growth forecast for Finland by 0.2ppts to 1.7% because GDP growth in Q2 surprised to the upside. We’ve also marginally increased headline inflation to 1.8% this year due to higher commodity prices. This also means we expect the European Central Bank to hike the policy rate to 2.5% at its September meeting, although the outlook depends on geopolitical developments.

Table of Contents

13 Pages
Finland: Another upside surprise to growth adds to outperformance this year
Baseline forecast
Recent developments
Short-term forecast
Policy assumptions
Key drivers of short-term forecast
What to watch out for
Long-term prospects
Scenarios
Alternative short-run scenarios
Alternative long-run scenarios
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation

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